WSTB

I'm not surprised to see Reno near the top of the list. I was out there a few months ago, and it really seems primed for growth. It is on the foot of the mountains and is an hour to Lake Tahoe, two hours to Sacramento and three hours to San Francisco. Long-term (and perhaps near-term), water will be an issue, but that seems to be the case for much of the Western US.

Concord’s population has skyrocketed to an estimated 107,697, an increase of 1.8% from 2020 to 2021!

Concord and Cabarrus County are booming because of spillover from Mecklenburg County. The Charlotte beltway comes very close to the Cabarrus County line.

Interesting data and discussion! Here is an article from an economic think tank titled: "Which Metros Have Led the Recovery So Far?" "https://eig.org/which-metros-have-led-the-recovery-so-far/ The subject is job recovery rates since covid and they include an interactive map which details metro growth and when it's expected to recover covid job losses: "All metros grouped by employment trajectory"

Charlotte Bizjournal: Of communities with at least 50,000 people, the town of Apex in Wake County — about 15 miles west of Raleigh — had the highest growth rate in North Carolina since the 2020 Census. Its population increased 7%, or by about 4,114 people, to 62,911. The Lake Norman town of Mooresville logged the state's second-highest growth during that time with its population increasing 2.8%, or by 1,389 people, to 51,594.

Today's WSJournal is reporting that Winston-Salem has crossed the 250,000 population threshold! Figures from the census bureau put the city's head count at 250,320 as of July 2021. While the rate of growth was slow in the 20-21 calendar year, the .4 growth translated into almost 1000 new people calling the Camel City home. In comparison, the state grew at a 1% rate, while our Triad neighbors in Guilford Co. grew by .15% (GSO) and .17% (HPT).

Winston's suburban towns added the following numbers: Kernersville gained 350 people for a total of 26,793, Clemmons also came in with around 350 people to total out at 21,517. Lewisville added 200 people to bring their total population to 13,602.

It's interesting to see Kernersville, Clemmons, and Lewisville adding roughly as many people to their populations as Greensboro. Not by percentage, but in actual number of people moving to those places. Of course Greensboro and Guilford County seem to be more focused on attracting industrial facilities that generate more tax revenue and use fewer services. That is very smart. Their focus is on gaining as much (in jobs and tax revenue) as possible from the recent Toyota and Boom announcements. They are working to keep residential developers away from large sites they want to see developed with industrial parks. I've heard residential developers want the sites in southeast Guilford, but the plan is to develop them as industrial parks / suppliers. I've seen smaller cities here in metro Atlanta do this, not only to generate more tax revenue, but also for their highly ranked schools which thrive with more tax revenue and slower student population growth. If Greensboro/Guilford County continues with this plan, look for more population growth in Forsyth, Randolph, and Alamance counties and more industrial park announcements in Guilford County.

https://www.populationu.com/cities/winston-salem-nc-population indicates a 2022 estimate at 253,887.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/us-counties/nc/forsyth-county-population estimates Forsyth County 2022 population at 391,532.

https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/23183/winston-salem/population estimates the W-S metro area 2022 population at 528,000.

https://www.citypopulation.de/en/usa/metro/49180__winston_salem/ estimates the W-S MSA 2021 population at 681,438.

https://www.citypopulation.de/en/usa/metro/34340__mount_airy/ estimates the 2022 population at 71,152.

If Mount Airy Micropolitan Area is added (as it should be), the 2022 estimate for W-S MSA will become 752,590

Is the new Toyota plant going to be annexed into any municipality?

HIghly improbable in the extreme...

Look for a residential building boom in southern and southeastern Guilford adjacent to the Toyota megasite.

That's what I was talking about. I've heard Greensboro controls the water needed to develop southeast Guilford and they won't allow residential developers to connect to it and residential developers aren't interested without that water connection. They are using their control over the water in that area to pick who develops that area and I've heard they want industrial and warehousing there (tax revenue & jobs). That part of Guilford will have an Interstate and be located near the Toyota battery factory. I've heard there have been inquiries by residential developers, but the answer is no. That area is visioned as supplier row.

Carolina Demography:

The 21 North Carolina counties with net out-migration were primarily in the eastern and Sandhills regions of the state, with two notable exceptions: Mecklenburg and Durham. Both Mecklenburg and Durham had large estimated in-flows of international migrants but even larger out-flows of individuals leaving for other counties and states.

These out-migrations contributed to slower growth for Mecklenburg (0.6%) and Durham (0.4%); both counties grew more slowly than the state overall. This contrasts with their population growth rankings last decade. Like the pandemic migration mentioned above, whether this is a single year aberration due to the pandemic or a multi-year trend is something we won’t know until we get more data.

Toyota Residential Boom:



https://www.bizjournals.com/triad/news/ ... pment.html

I thought there was a moratorium in all of NC on any annexation (not de-annexation) or is Greensboro exempt from this so as to, in paranoid pursuit, keep its population higher than that of W-S?